New Home Sales Drop!

The Commerce Department reported yesterday that new home sales dropped 12.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 276,000 last month, down from a downwardly revised 315,000 in June. Sales year-over-year fell 32.4%.
Sales were forecast to tick higher to an annual rate of 334,000 in July, according to a consensus estimate of economists surveyed by Briefing.com. “We won’t see sustainable increases in home sales until we can get the labor market on more solid footing, with consistent gains in employment and income,” said Wells Fargo economist Anika Khan, who expects unemployment to peak early next year. But Khan said with home sales at such depressed levels, there may be some modest increases sooner than that.

Standard & Poor’s expects delinquencies to remain high!

S&P expects declining mortgage applications, high unemployment, the number of distressed sales, and a backlog of foreclosed properties not yet for sale to keep home prices down. Agency loans backed by bond resolutions rated by S&P and at least 60 days delinquent or in foreclosure rose to 6.05% in the first quarter from 4.48% a year ago, but fell from 6.57% for the fourth quarter of 2009, according to analysts. Without a decrease in unemployment – S&P chief economist David Wyss projects the figure hovering around 10% for the rest of this year – and tangible economic improvement, the ratings service expects agency delinquencies rates to remain high. Wyss also sees difficulties with loan restructuring and delays in the foreclosure process keeping foreclosure inventory high for the next 18 months. And “additional foreclosures could put more pressure on home prices, possibly affecting loans” in agency portfolios, which could increase delinquency rates, according to the credit rating agency. Still, analysts “don’t expect fluctuations in delinquency rates alone to cause ratings action at this time.”

What is happening next for housing market?

California to stop accepting First-Time Homebuyer Tax Credit Applications on Aug 15th

The Franchise Tax Board (FTB) announced today that it will stop accepting applications for the First-Time Buyer Credit at midnight Sunday, August 15, 2010.

As of August 4, FTB has received 31,460 applications. Because some of the applications are invalid or duplicates, FTB will continue to accept them through August 15, to ensure that enough valid applications are received to properly allocate the full $100 million of tax credit. FTB estimates that it can award approximately 17,500-20,000 credit certificates to unique and valid applicants. However, once the funds are exhausted, any remaining applications will be denied.

California homebuyers still have time to qualify for the state’s other $100 million home tax credit for the purchase of a new home. The New Home Credit is available for taxpayers who purchase (close escrow) a new home on or after May 1, 2010, and before August 1, 2011, as long as they enter into an enforceable contract executed before January 1, 2011. The seller must certify that the home has never been previously occupied.

New housing data to share with you…

Well, it seems there are fewer underwater homeowners because the banks have increased their rate of foreclosures…leading to more REOs


Jumbo, High-End Jumbo Mortgage Defaults Spike 600%!


The real estate crash is no longer a ‘sub-prime’ only story. Now, its gone prime time…as in prime mortgages….specifically, Jumbo Prime. Thats right, Jumbo Mortgage Homes are now in the cross hairs of the foreclosure free for all.

A record number of borrowers once judged the most creditworthy are heading into foreclosure as the job market leaves more homeowners unable to keep up with mortgage payments.
Foreclosures among borrowers with prime conforming loans have shot up 425% since January 2008, according to Lender Processing Services, which compiles mortgage data. Conforming loans are those eligible for purchase by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the federal agencies that buy mortgages from lenders.

Jumbo prime loans not eligible for purchase by Fannie or Freddie have done even worse — foreclosures on those have increased nearly 600%.

Jumbo loans are typically mortgages worth more than $729,750.

If you can not afford your home payments, I can help with two outstanding programs. Short sale and Principle Reduction. Call me at 951-324-6874 in Inland Empire or 949-459-3969 in Orange County for more information about avoiding foreclosure.

Home Sales Up

Yesterday the Commerce Department reported that new home sales increased 23.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 330,000 last month, up from an downwardly revised 267,000 in May. Sales year-over-year fell 16.7%. The June sales pace is the second slowest ever on record since the Commerce Department began tracking the data in 1963, but it was slightly better than the annual rate of 310,000 economists were expecting, according to a consensus survey by Briefing.com. Home sales had surged in March and April as homebuyers scrambled to sign contracts ahead of the April 30 deadline for the tax credit, plummeted 40% in May, the first month after the incentive expired.

The report showed that the median price of new homes sold in June was $213,400, down 1.4% from May and a 0.6% drop from June 2009. An estimated 210,000 new homes were for sale at the end of June, the lowest inventory level in nearly 42 years. At the current sales pace, the government expects it will take 7.6 months to sell through that inventory, down from 9.6 months in May. Six months of inventory is considered normal market conditions. Sales rose the most in the Northwest, where they surged by more than 46%; the South saw sales climb by about a third, while sales in the Midwest increased 21%. Sales in the West, the only region to suffer a decline during the month, edged down almost 7%.

60,000 Desperate Homeowners Flock Loan Modification Event

If you doubt the foreclosure crisis is growing and becoming significantly worse…watch this CNBC video.
Forget the stats, forget the high-brow studies from the Harvard economists….these are the real faces of foreclosure.


Low Rates to Stay

A recent study by the Federal Reserve (The Depth of Negative Equity and Mortgage Default Decisions by Bhutta, Dokko and Shan) investigated the question: at what point do underwater homeowners “strategically default” on their mortgages? Surprisingly, it found that the average borrower doesn’t walk away from his home until negative equity reaches a very high level, -62%. But the fascinating thing was that there was something that could trigger underwater borrowers to default much, much earlier – and that something was an interest rate rise.

Fannie Mae Cracks Down on Strategic Defaults

According to Fannie Mae, homeowners who strategically default or did not work “in good faith” to avert foreclosure through other means will be ineligible for new Fannie Mae-backed mortgages for seven years. The firm said it will also pursue homeowners in court, seeking so-called “deficiency judgments” to recoup outstanding debt by seizing borrowers’ other assets. Thirty-nine states do not limit the ability of lenders to recover what they’re owed.

In good faith through Other means translates to Short Sale, Loan Modification, and Deed in Leiu of a Foreclosure.

If you are behind on your payments or anticipate to be behnid soon, I can help you for Free. Please contact me at 951-324-6874